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Post Flop Play

by Al Sousa (site owner)

Playing the correct preflop hands is one of the most important things a new player can do to improve his game. But if he does not follow up and play post flop correctly he will still lose money.

So what is the the typical poor post flop player?

From my experince the typical poor players will usually do the following:
Call unraised/raised pot with any ace or any 2 face cards (T,J,Q,K,A).
Chases any draws to the river without pot odds.
Calls down middle pair as long as there is no serious action.
Shows respect to an ace on board, they might actually fold.
Calls down with top pair, bad kicker.
Check and calls if there is a 3 or 4 flush on the board to the river.
Bet/call/chase a 4 card flush with non-nut flush cards.
Raises made straight, even the sucker end of the straight.
Slowplays trips or a set for raising on the turn.
Raises/caps with any fullhouse, even bottom.
Raises/caps on the flop if they have two pair.
Call for just one more card heads up.
Call down heads up with ace high.
Calls down Big wired pairs no matter the flop heads up.

For this section assume a 10 player table:
EP = Early Position, seats 1-3 to the left of the big blind
MP = Middle Position, seats 4-6 to the left of the big blind
LP = Late Position, seats 7-8 to the left of the big blind
SB = Small Blind
BB = Big Blind

If you have a hand worth a call: I feel if you have a hand worth calling then its worth betting, unless you are sure someone will raise behind you and you don't want to be raised. Betting in this situation adds deception to your hand and adds that small chance everyone will fold to your bet. This situation applies to flush draws, open ended, or double belly buster straight draws, middle pair with an overcard like an ace or king, or two overcards with a backdoor straight or flush. This play will also confuse your opponents in later hands as to what you really have.

Think about how to proceed: Take time to think about the flop and other players even if it seems obvious on what you have to do. Don't get into the habit of "I have top pair therefore I bet". Think about your position, how many players are in the pot, what type of players, the kind of hands they might have, what is on the board, and how to make them play improperly. If you always take time to think about your actions it will also reduce your online tells.

Examine the flop: Look carefully at what the board is and how many players are in the pot. If there is a flush draw and many callers then probably someone has a draw, but with the same board and two callers it is less likely. Make sure your outs are live and can't make anyone else a better hand. There are times when folding the current best hand is the correct play because you are not the favorite.

Poor Top Pair
You BB: 49 EP: KQ EP: QT MP: A2 SB: 76
Board: 928 (5 small bets in the pot)
You currently have the best hand with top pair but you are actually behind in the hand. Any , A, K, Q, J, T, 5, or 2 destroys your hand. Also if any of the players did share your 9 they would almost certainly have a better kicker. There are 29 cards out of 47 unknown that can come against your hand. You should check and fold.

Calculate proper pot odds to continue: If you are going to continue be sure that you have proper pots odds to do so. Also figure implied pot odds for your hand. Poor players almost always chase down draws without proper pot odds. Be aware that at times pot odds are not there to improve your hand for two cards to come because you are paying a double size bet on the turn.

Inside Straight Draw
You LP: J9 EP: A9 5 more callers inclinding both blinds
Board: A87 (7 small bets in the pot)

All called before the flop and the BB checked.

The A9 player bets the flop, a middle position player calls.
(9 small bets in the pot)

Most players will think that they have 4 outs or pot odds of 5.1:1 to complete their inside straight with 2 cards to come. With 7 small bets in the pot it seems like you have pot odds.

you call (10 small bets in the pot)

Calling on the flop is correct because it is giving you enough odds and implied odds for one card 9:1 and you have a 10.5:1 gut shot. Assuming either player bets on the turn you can at least get one big bet out of them if you hit your draw. If they checks you check behind giving you even more proper odds for your draw because you got see both cards for one small bet.

Turn is a 2, the A9 player bets, the middle position player folds.
(12 small bets or 6 big bets) What do you do?

When the turn bet comes it is a double size bet. So now you have a 10.5:1 shot at your straight with one card to come and the pot is giving you (12:2) or (6:1) odds. You should fold to his turn bet because the pot is not giving you proper odds. Even with implied odds it is correct to fold because you are not sure if you would be paid off the amount needed.

Now lets say you decide to stay in and you call the turn (7 big bets) and hit your straight on the river when the T hits. We will assume the best scenario and that the A9 bets in to you (8 big bets), you raise (10 big bets), he calls (11 big bets). You win the hand.

But how much did you really win for your money? Well you called the flop, the turn, and raised the river: We take out your last 2 big bets on the river (+9 big bets). We do this assuming that if you missed the river you fold your hand so this is not money you are winning or losing. We take out the flop and turn calls from your winnings 1+2=3 small bets (+7.5 big bets). You got 7.5 big bets for investing 1.5 big bets. This is not counting your initial investment.

7.5:1.5 = 5:1 big bets made.
Odds to hit your inside straight 5.1:1.

Even though the odds are close in the long run this play is a losing proposition. The proper odds need to be exceeded to make this play profitable. Repeating this play 1000 times with the same flop but randomizing the turn and river will make this play a loser. In the end you will actually have lost money overall for your play becase when you win you do not win as much money as you should for your chance to hit your draw.

You would win 165 times of 1000 (+1155 big bets)
costing 4 big bets for pre-flop, flop, turn, and river: +7 big bets per pot won.

You would lose 804 times of 1000 (-1670 big bets)
costing 2 bets for pre-flop, flop, and turn: -2 big bets per pot lost.

The net is a -515 big bets lost per 1000 scenarios.

Also consider the following:
What if the A9 player checks the flop? (-1 big bet)
What if he folds to your raise? (-1 big bet)
We did not take out the rake for the hand (-0.5 big bets for online)

Either of these cases lowers your winnings even more because there is always a chance of the 1st two situations happening. Even if it happens 5% of the time it still effects your overall winnings.

Now let take a look at an example of proper odds play. This shows how playing a drawing hand correctly can earn you a lot of money.

Flush Draw
You EP: JT MP: KT 5 more callers inclinding both blinds
Board: K46 (7 small bets in the pot)

All called before the flop and the BB checked.

You check because you know if the middle player is very aggressive. The KT player bets the flop, a late position player calls.
(9 small bets in the pot)

here you have a flush draw but its not to the nuts. You have a 1.9:1 shot to hit your flush from the flop. You are getting 9:1 on your money. Normally you raise here to build the pot but you are sure that the KT will reraise you knocking out the late position player thus NOT giving you proper flop odds.

you call (10 small bets in the pot)

Turn is a 4, you check, the KT player bets, the late position player folds.
(12 small bets or 6 big bets) What do you do?

So now you have a 4.1:1 shot at your flush with one card to come and the pot is giving you (12:2) or (6:1) odds. You should definitely call.

You call the turn (7 big bets)

Your flush on the river when the Q hits. We will assume the worst scenario and that the KT will only call your river bet (9 big bets). You win the hand.

Lets see how well you did. Well you called the flop, the turn, and bet on the river: We take out your last 1 big bet on the river (+8 big bets). We do this assuming that if you missed the river you fold your hand so this is not money you are winning or losing. We take out the flop, and turn calls from your winnings 1+2=3 small bets (+6.5 big bets). You got 6.5 big bets for investing 1.5 big bets. This is not counting your initial investment.

6.5:1.5 = 4.33:1 big bets made.
Odds to hit your flush 1.9:1.

The pot odds well exceeded the 1.9:1 for the flush so it looks like you made money.

You would win 350 times of 1000 (+2100 big bets)
costing 3 big bets for pre-flop, flop, turn, and river: +6 big bets per pot won.

You would lose 650 times of 1000 (-1300 big bets)
costing 2 bets for pre-flop, flop, and turn: -2 big bets per pot lost.

The net is a +800 big bets won per 1000 hands.

Also consider the following:
We did not take out the rake for the hand (-0.5 big bets for online)
This does not count the times you hit your flush on the turn and the difference in potential money. At most it will be a difference of 1 big bet about half the time. In the end it could be a difference of another 175 assuming the other player folds to your turn raise. But even this will still put you ahead

With the rake considered you are still +625 big bets ahead. Also lets assume you hit your flush half the time on the turn. Thats a loss of 1 big bet assumung you raise the turn to protect your flush and the KT player folds. It still leaves you +450 big bets ahead per 1000 hands played in the same scenario.

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